La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-15 · 20:00
12.2243.0%
X3.1030.8%
23.6526.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Osasuna
LDDWWWLWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Valencia
DLLLWWLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.60
1.70
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.40
Against
5.40
9.40
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Osasuna attack

1.40goals per match
Valencia conceded1.60
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.00goals per match
Osasuna conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
90%9/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
2.40N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.40
9.40
Match total
7.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.80
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.20N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
26.80
Match total
25.50

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
3.50
On target
3.30
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches365
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%41.6%-1.4 pp
Draw30.8%32.6%+1.8 pp
Away26.2%25.8%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.513.4%
BTTS44.7%

Historical average

1.180.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-014.5%
1-114.2%
1-012.1%
2-110.1%
0-19.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.963.86
Average total8.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=365.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.7%
Over 9.541.1%
Over 10.529.0%
Over 11.520.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches154
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.6%22.0%–36.2% CI
Draw FT50.6%42.8%–58.4% CI
Away FT20.8%15.1%–27.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.6%
2+ goals31.2%
3+ goals9.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.8%
Away40.9%