La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 20:00
11.3372.0%
X5.2018.4%
29.979.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
WWLWDDDLLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Almeria
LLLLLLLDLW
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.00
Against
6.90
9.80
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
1.70
Total goals
2.50
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.00goals per match
Almeria conceded1.60
Matchup

Almeria attack

0.90goals per match
Sociedad conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.90
9.80
Match total
11.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.10
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
26.50
Match total
25.60

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
5.50
On target
2.90
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches98
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.0%71.4%-0.6 pp
Draw18.4%20.4%+2.0 pp
Away9.6%8.2%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.533.7%
BTTS44.9%

Historical average

2.150.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-015.3%
1-014.3%
3-08.2%
1-18.2%
0-06.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.213.09
Average total10.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=98.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.4%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.544.9%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.5%46.9%–78.9% CI
Draw FT32.3%18.6%–49.9% CI
Away FT3.2%0.6%–16.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.6%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.4%
Away22.6%