La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 17:30
11.7754.1%
X3.9724.1%
24.4021.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Bilbao
DWWWWWWWDW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Villarreal
WLDLLLWDWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.90
0.80
Conceded
2.30
60%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.90
1.90
2H goals
2.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.60
Against
8.10
9.10
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.90
0.80
Goals conceded
2.30
3.20
Total goals
4.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

2.40goals per match
Villarreal conceded2.30
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.90goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.60
Corners against
8.10
9.10
Match total
11.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.50
Match total
5.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
25.80
Match total
24.10

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
6.20
On target
4.20
17%
Conversion
23%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches331
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.1%58.9%+4.8 pp
Draw24.1%23.9%-0.3 pp
Away21.8%17.2%-4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.534.7%
BTTS59.5%

Historical average

1.981.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.8%
2-111.2%
2-010.9%
1-08.2%
2-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.254.07
Average total10.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=331.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.533.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.4%38.8%–60.0% CI
Draw FT33.3%24.0%–44.1% CI
Away FT17.3%10.6%–26.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.99

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.4%
2+ goals63.0%
3+ goals32.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.3%
Away49.4%