La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 15:15
13.1030.9%
X3.1030.9%
22.5138.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Granada
LDDLWLDDLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Alaves
LLDLDWWDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.90
Against
5.20
9.50
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Granada attack

1.00goals per match
Alaves conceded1.30
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.90goals per match
Granada conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.20
9.50
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.50
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
28.00
Match total
23.70

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.80
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches283
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.9%29.7%-1.2 pp
Draw30.9%32.2%+1.2 pp
Away38.2%38.2%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

1.111.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
0-113.8%
1-09.9%
0-09.9%
2-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.644.95
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=283.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.527.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches92
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.3%21.0%–39.3% CI
Draw FT46.7%36.9%–56.9% CI
Away FT23.9%16.4%–33.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.6%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals10.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away43.5%