La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 15:15
13.1030.9%
X3.1030.9%
22.5138.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Granada
LDDLWLDDLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Alaves
LLDLDWWDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.90
Against
5.20
9.50
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Granada attack
1.00goals per matchAlaves conceded1.30Matchup
Alaves attack
0.90goals per matchGranada conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.20
9.50
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.50
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
28.00
Match total
23.70
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.80
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches283
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.9%29.7%-1.2 pp
Draw30.9%32.2%+1.2 pp
Away38.2%38.2%-0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS49.5%
Historical average
1.11–1.28
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.5%
0-113.8%
1-09.9%
0-09.9%
2-27.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.64–4.95
Average total9.59
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=283.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.527.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches92
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.3%21.0%–39.3% CI
Draw FT46.7%36.9%–56.9% CI
Away FT23.9%16.4%–33.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.18
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.6%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals10.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away43.5%