La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 20:00
14.3322.1%
X3.5726.9%
21.8851.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cadiz
DLDDLDLDWW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Barcelona
DWDDWWWWDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.90
1.40
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.30
Against
4.90
7.90
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.90
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
2.30
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cadiz attack
0.90goals per matchBarcelona conceded0.90Matchup
Barcelona attack
1.90goals per matchCadiz conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
1.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.90
7.90
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.70
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.40N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
30.10
Match total
23.70
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
3.90
On target
5.10
8%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches221
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.1%20.8%-1.3 pp
Draw26.9%23.5%-3.3 pp
Away51.0%55.7%+4.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS46.2%
Historical average
0.86–1.67
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-212.7%
1-112.2%
0-111.3%
1-210.9%
1-010.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.45–5.53
Average total9.98
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=221.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.528.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.7%12.3%–32.8% CI
Draw FT31.0%20.6%–43.8% CI
Away FT48.3%35.9%–60.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.16
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals31.0%
3+ goals6.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home34.5%
Away55.2%