La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 17:30
14.9219.5%
X3.6626.2%
21.7754.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Mallorca
DDWWDLWLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Real Madrid
DWWDWWWDDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.90
0.80
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.10
0.80
2H goals
1.70
40%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.80
Against
3.90
10.10
Total
9.20
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.90
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
1.90
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Mallorca attack
1.10goals per matchReal Madrid conceded0.90Matchup
Real Madrid attack
1.90goals per matchMallorca conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
3.90
10.10
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.00
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.30N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
27.50
Match total
26.50
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
4.00
On target
5.20
9%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches132
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.5%25.0%+5.5 pp
Draw26.2%24.2%-2.0 pp
Away54.2%50.8%-3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.9%
BTTS46.2%
Historical average
0.86–1.47
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.2%
0-213.6%
0-112.1%
1-010.6%
0-06.8%
Comparable corner averages
3.73–5.56
Average total9.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=132.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.8%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.532.6%
Over 11.525.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%21.4%–47.9% CI
Draw FT28.9%17.7%–43.4% CI
Away FT37.8%25.1%–52.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.4%
Away53.3%