La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 15:15
12.2342.9%
X3.0531.4%
23.7325.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Vallecano
DLDDLLLDDW
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Getafe
DDLWDLDDLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.30
0.90
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.10
Against
4.20
10.00
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Vallecano attack
0.90goals per matchGetafe conceded1.60Matchup
Getafe attack
1.10goals per matchVallecano conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.20
10.00
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.90
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.60N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
29.40
Match total
27.80
Shots
13.50N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
4.50
On target
4.60
7%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches392
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.9%40.8%-2.1 pp
Draw31.4%31.9%+0.5 pp
Away25.7%27.3%+1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.514.3%
BTTS45.2%
Historical average
1.19–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.8%
0-013.0%
1-012.0%
0-110.7%
2-09.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.01–3.87
Average total8.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=392.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.551.0%
Over 9.540.6%
Over 10.528.8%
Over 11.520.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches164
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.3%22.8%–36.6% CI
Draw FT48.2%40.7%–55.8% CI
Away FT22.6%16.8%–29.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.9%
2+ goals33.5%
3+ goals11.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.8%
Away44.5%