La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 15:15
12.2342.9%
X3.0531.4%
23.7325.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
DLDDLLLDDW
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Getafe
DDLWDLDDLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
0.90
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.10
Against
4.20
10.00
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.90goals per match
Getafe conceded1.60
Matchup

Getafe attack

1.10goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.20
10.00
Match total
9.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.90
Match total
5.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.60N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
29.40
Match total
27.80

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
4.50
On target
4.60
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches392
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.9%40.8%-2.1 pp
Draw31.4%31.9%+0.5 pp
Away25.7%27.3%+1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.514.3%
BTTS45.2%

Historical average

1.190.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
0-013.0%
1-012.0%
0-110.7%
2-09.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.013.87
Average total8.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=392.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.0%
Over 9.540.6%
Over 10.528.8%
Over 11.520.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches164
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.3%22.8%–36.6% CI
Draw FT48.2%40.7%–55.8% CI
Away FT22.6%16.8%–29.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.9%
2+ goals33.5%
3+ goals11.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.8%
Away44.5%