La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 13:00
11.9748.6%
X3.7825.3%
23.6726.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Madrid
WWWDWWWWWL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Girona
WWWDDWLLLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
6.40
Against
4.70
10.90
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
2.10goals per matchGirona conceded1.50Matchup
Girona attack
1.40goals per matchAth Madrid conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
6.40
Corners against
4.70
10.90
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.50
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
23.40
Match total
23.60
Shots
14.00N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
5.80
On target
4.20
15%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches265
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.6%47.2%-1.4 pp
Draw25.3%27.5%+2.2 pp
Away26.1%25.3%-0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS55.5%
Historical average
1.63–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.8%
1-011.3%
2-08.7%
2-16.8%
1-26.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.62–4.52
Average total10.15
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=265.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.556.6%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.531.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.8%31.5%–52.8% CI
Draw FT39.2%29.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT19.0%11.9%–29.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.53
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.3%
2+ goals48.1%
3+ goals16.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home69.6%
Away44.3%