La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 13:00
11.9748.6%
X3.7825.3%
23.6726.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
WWWDWWWWWL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Girona
WWWDDWLLLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
6.40
Against
4.70
10.90
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

2.10goals per match
Girona conceded1.50
Matchup

Girona attack

1.40goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
6.40
Corners against
4.70
10.90
Match total
9.20
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.50
Match total
4.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
23.40
Match total
23.60

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
5.80
On target
4.20
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches265
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.6%47.2%-1.4 pp
Draw25.3%27.5%+2.2 pp
Away26.1%25.3%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS55.5%

Historical average

1.631.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
1-011.3%
2-08.7%
2-16.8%
1-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.624.52
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=265.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.556.6%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.8%31.5%–52.8% CI
Draw FT39.2%29.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT19.0%11.9%–29.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.3%
2+ goals48.1%
3+ goals16.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.6%
Away44.3%