La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 20:00
13.0031.9%
X3.7125.8%
22.2742.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
DLWLWDDDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Ath Madrid
WLLLLWDLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.70
Against
4.20
10.30
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
3.00
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.70goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.50
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.10goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.20
10.30
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.20
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
26.90
Match total
22.60

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.70
On target
5.90
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches152
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.9%30.3%-1.7 pp
Draw25.8%33.6%+7.7 pp
Away42.2%36.2%-6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS69.7%

Historical average

1.431.59

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.8%
2-19.2%
1-27.9%
2-27.2%
1-35.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.644.94
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=152.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.6%14.6%–41.1% CI
Draw FT46.2%31.6%–61.4% CI
Away FT28.2%16.5%–43.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.72

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals56.4%
3+ goals20.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.4%
Away61.5%