La Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-31 · 20:00
11.5561.5%
X4.2922.2%
25.8716.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Real Madrid
DWWWWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Ath Bilbao
LWDDWLDDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.50
Scored
1.00
0.50
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
5.40N=10
2.50
Against
5.00
8.90
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.00
0.50
Goals conceded
0.90
3.00
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Real Madrid attack
2.50goals per matchAth Bilbao conceded0.90Matchup
Ath Bilbao attack
1.00goals per matchReal Madrid conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.00
8.90
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.00
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.00N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
24.00
Match total
26.20
Shots
17.90N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
6.50
On target
3.60
14%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches311
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.5%64.6%+3.1 pp
Draw22.2%18.6%-3.6 pp
Away16.2%16.7%+0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS47.3%
Historical average
2.07–0.85
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.5%
2-010.3%
1-110.0%
2-18.7%
3-08.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.28–3.76
Average total10.04
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=311.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.534.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.7%39.5%–61.8% CI
Draw FT30.1%20.8%–41.4% CI
Away FT19.2%11.8%–29.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.44
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.6%
2+ goals38.4%
3+ goals19.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.8%
Away41.1%