La Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-31 · 17:30
13.4128.1%
X2.9632.4%
22.4239.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Alaves
DWWLLWLDDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Sociedad
WDWDLWDWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.60
0.90
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.00
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
7.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.30
Against
4.10
11.90
Total
9.40
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
1.90
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Alaves attack
1.00goals per matchSociedad conceded1.00Matchup
Sociedad attack
1.60goals per matchAlaves conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.10
11.90
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.20
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
16.80N=10
25.00
Match total
30.10
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
3.40
On target
3.90
7%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.1%33.7%+5.7 pp
Draw32.4%28.9%-3.4 pp
Away39.6%37.3%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.551.8%
Over 2.531.3%
Over 3.516.9%
BTTS38.6%
Historical average
0.93–1.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-118.1%
1-016.9%
0-013.3%
1-110.8%
2-17.2%
Comparable corner averages
3.72–4.47
Average total8.19
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.539.8%
Over 9.525.3%
Over 10.514.5%
Over 11.510.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.4%19.6%–48.5% CI
Draw FT35.1%21.8%–51.2% CI
Away FT32.4%19.6%–48.5% CI
Remaining goals
0.89
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.3%
2+ goals16.2%
3+ goals2.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home37.8%
Away40.5%