La Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-31 · 17:30
13.4128.1%
X2.9632.4%
22.4239.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
DWWLLWLDDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Sociedad
WDWDLWDWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.60
0.90
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.00
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.30
Against
4.10
11.90
Total
9.40
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
1.90
Total goals
2.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.00goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.00
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.60goals per match
Alaves conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.10
11.90
Match total
9.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.20
Match total
4.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
16.80N=10
25.00
Match total
30.10

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
3.40
On target
3.90
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.1%33.7%+5.7 pp
Draw32.4%28.9%-3.4 pp
Away39.6%37.3%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.551.8%
Over 2.531.3%
Over 3.516.9%
BTTS38.6%

Historical average

0.931.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-118.1%
1-016.9%
0-013.3%
1-110.8%
2-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

3.724.47
Average total8.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.539.8%
Over 9.525.3%
Over 10.514.5%
Over 11.510.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.4%19.6%–48.5% CI
Draw FT35.1%21.8%–51.2% CI
Away FT32.4%19.6%–48.5% CI

Remaining goals

0.89

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.3%
2+ goals16.2%
3+ goals2.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.8%
Away40.5%