La Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-31 · 13:00
11.9648.8%
X3.3928.2%
24.1623.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
DLDDWWLLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Vallecano
WDLLWDLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.50
1.20
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.50
0.80
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.60
Against
6.00
10.70
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
1.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Celta attack

0.90goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.30
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.50goals per match
Celta conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.00
10.70
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.20
Match total
5.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
27.00
Match total
27.60

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
5.10
On target
2.80
6%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches762
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.8%50.9%+2.1 pp
Draw28.2%28.3%+0.1 pp
Away23.0%20.7%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

1.500.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
1-012.2%
2-111.4%
2-09.8%
0-09.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.683.99
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=761.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches240
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.5%31.6%–43.8% CI
Draw FT41.3%35.2%–47.6% CI
Away FT21.3%16.5%–26.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals35.4%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.7%
Away39.2%