La Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 20:00
11.2775.4%
X6.3415.1%
210.159.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
LWWLWLWDWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Las Palmas
WWDLWLWDLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
2.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
2.60
Against
6.30
9.20
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
3.80
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.10goals per match
Las Palmas conceded1.40
Matchup

Las Palmas attack

1.20goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
2.60
Corners against
6.30
9.20
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.40
Match total
4.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
23.90
Match total
27.30

Shots

18.60N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
6.80
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches103
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.4%75.7%+0.3 pp
Draw15.1%15.5%+0.4 pp
Away9.4%8.7%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.539.8%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

2.360.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.6%
1-011.7%
4-011.7%
1-110.7%
2-09.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.113.23
Average total10.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=103.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.559.2%
Over 10.546.6%
Over 11.537.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.2%44.9%–81.2% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT4.3%0.8%–21.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.3%
2+ goals52.2%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home87.0%
Away34.8%