La Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 15:15
12.6236.6%
X3.2529.5%
22.8333.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
DLLDDDLDDD
0W 7D 3L · 0.70 PPM
Osasuna
LLLDLDLWDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.30
Against
4.70
9.20
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
2.40
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

0.90goals per match
Osasuna conceded1.80
Matchup

Osasuna attack

0.80goals per match
Almeria conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.70
9.20
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.90
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
26.60
Match total
24.90

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.20
On target
3.10
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches930
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.6%34.1%-2.5 pp
Draw29.5%32.6%+3.1 pp
Away33.9%33.3%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

1.211.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.7%
0-110.6%
0-09.1%
2-18.9%
1-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.154.57
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=929.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.536.6%
Over 11.525.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches311
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT27.0%22.4%–32.2% CI
Draw FT42.8%37.4%–48.3% CI
Away FT30.2%25.4%–35.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.7%
Away50.8%