La Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-29 · 20:00
12.0247.7%
X3.3428.8%
24.1023.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cadiz
LDLDDLDLDW
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Granada
LLLLLLLDLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.50
1.50
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.60
Against
5.90
8.20
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded
2.10
2.30
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cadiz attack
0.80goals per matchGranada conceded2.10Matchup
Granada attack
0.50goals per matchCadiz conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.90
8.20
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.50
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.90N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
29.50
Match total
28.10
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
3.60
On target
2.60
7%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches591
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.7%46.7%-1.0 pp
Draw28.8%30.6%+1.8 pp
Away23.5%22.7%-0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.523.2%
BTTS48.6%
Historical average
1.39–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.4%
1-113.7%
0-011.2%
2-19.3%
0-19.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.48–4.04
Average total9.51
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=590.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.8%
Over 9.546.1%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.526.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches210
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.6%31.3%–44.3% CI
Draw FT42.9%36.4%–49.6% CI
Away FT19.5%14.7%–25.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.6%
2+ goals34.3%
3+ goals13.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.9%
Away38.1%