La Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 20:00
12.3940.0%
X3.6326.3%
22.8433.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Madrid
WWWWDWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Barcelona
DDWDDWWWWD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.80
0.80
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
5.40N=10
6.50
Against
4.90
10.70
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
3.10
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
2.30goals per matchBarcelona conceded1.10Matchup
Barcelona attack
1.80goals per matchAth Madrid conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
1.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
6.50
Corners against
4.90
10.70
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.60
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
23.10
Match total
23.90
Shots
13.90N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
6.20
On target
5.00
17%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches201
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.0%34.3%-5.7 pp
Draw26.3%25.4%-1.0 pp
Away33.7%40.3%+6.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.8%
BTTS59.2%
Historical average
1.43–1.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.9%
1-210.0%
0-28.0%
0-08.0%
1-07.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.22–4.88
Average total10.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=201.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.7%21.5%–46.2% CI
Draw FT42.3%29.9%–55.8% CI
Away FT25.0%15.2%–38.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.46
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals42.3%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.9%
Away42.3%