La Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 20:00
12.3940.0%
X3.6326.3%
22.8433.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
WWWWDWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Barcelona
DDWDDWWWWD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.80
0.80
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.40N=10
6.50
Against
4.90
10.70
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
3.10
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

2.30goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

1.80goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
6.50
Corners against
4.90
10.70
Match total
10.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.60
Match total
5.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
23.10
Match total
23.90

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
6.20
On target
5.00
17%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches201
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.0%34.3%-5.7 pp
Draw26.3%25.4%-1.0 pp
Away33.7%40.3%+6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.8%
BTTS59.2%

Historical average

1.431.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.9%
1-210.0%
0-28.0%
0-08.0%
1-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.224.88
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=201.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.7%21.5%–46.2% CI
Draw FT42.3%29.9%–55.8% CI
Away FT25.0%15.2%–38.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals42.3%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.9%
Away42.3%