La Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 17:30
12.4938.4%
X3.2329.6%
22.9832.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
DDLDDLLLDD
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM
Betis
DDDDDDLWWL
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
0.70
70%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.30
Against
5.20
9.30
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
0.80
2.30
Total goals
1.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.90goals per match
Betis conceded0.80
Matchup

Betis attack

0.90goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.20
9.30
Match total
10.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.80
Match total
3.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

15.60N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
28.80
Match total
23.50

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.60
On target
3.50
6%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches642
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.4%38.6%+0.3 pp
Draw29.6%30.5%+1.0 pp
Away32.1%30.8%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.520.1%
BTTS48.0%

Historical average

1.151.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
1-012.6%
0-011.5%
0-110.7%
2-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.194.44
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=642.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches240
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.2%23.8%–35.2% CI
Draw FT45.4%39.2%–51.7% CI
Away FT25.4%20.3%–31.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals35.8%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.9%
Away45.4%