La Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 15:15
12.1045.5%
X3.4627.6%
23.5626.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
LDLWLWDDDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Valencia
LDDLLLWWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.70
Against
5.10
10.40
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.90
3.20
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.70goals per match
Valencia conceded1.90
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.00goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.10
10.40
Match total
7.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.40
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
26.90
Match total
24.50

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
5.40
On target
2.90
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches532
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.5%44.0%-1.5 pp
Draw27.6%28.9%+1.3 pp
Away26.9%27.1%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS56.4%

Historical average

1.511.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
1-09.8%
2-19.6%
0-18.5%
1-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.584.41
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=532.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches169
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.0%25.4%–39.3% CI
Draw FT36.1%29.2%–43.6% CI
Away FT32.0%25.4%–39.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.7%
2+ goals42.0%
3+ goals16.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.0%
Away53.3%