La Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 13:00
12.0147.6%
X3.4228.0%
23.9224.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
DDDDLLLDWW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Celta
LLDDLDWLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
1.60
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.30
Against
7.40
9.60
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.80
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.20goals per match
Celta conceded1.80
Matchup

Celta attack

1.30goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
7.40
9.60
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.70
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
26.90
Match total
27.00

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
4.70
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches887
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.6%48.8%+1.2 pp
Draw28.0%26.7%-1.3 pp
Away24.4%24.5%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

1.531.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
1-011.7%
2-110.3%
2-09.4%
0-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.574.21
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=887.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.0%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches291
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.5%35.1%–46.3% CI
Draw FT34.4%29.1%–40.0% CI
Away FT25.1%20.5%–30.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.0%
Away41.2%