La Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 20:00
11.5561.6%
X3.9724.1%
26.6914.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Bilbao
WDWWWWWWWD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Alaves
DLLDLDWWDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
2.10
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.40
Against
5.60
9.00
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
3.30
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

2.50goals per match
Alaves conceded1.20
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.00goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.60
9.00
Match total
9.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.30
Match total
5.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
25.60
Match total
24.20

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
6.70
On target
3.60
17%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches130
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.6%72.3%+10.7 pp
Draw24.1%20.8%-3.3 pp
Away14.3%6.9%-7.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS43.1%

Historical average

1.910.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-019.2%
2-114.6%
3-012.3%
2-011.5%
2-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.543.52
Average total9.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=130.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.2%
Over 9.541.5%
Over 10.530.0%
Over 11.518.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT69.0%54.0%–80.9% CI
Draw FT23.8%13.5%–38.5% CI
Away FT7.1%2.5%–19.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.2%
Away23.8%