La Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 15:15
15.9716.0%
X4.2522.5%
21.5661.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Osasuna
WLDDWWWLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Real Madrid
WDWWDWWWDD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.80
1.10
Conceded
0.70
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.40
Against
3.50
9.00
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.80
1.10
Goals conceded
0.70
2.50
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Osasuna attack

1.40goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.70
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.80goals per match
Osasuna conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.40
Corners against
3.50
9.00
Match total
8.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.00
Match total
4.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.30N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
27.30
Match total
26.50

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
3.70
On target
5.00
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches105
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.0%10.5%-5.6 pp
Draw22.5%21.9%-0.6 pp
Away61.4%67.6%+6.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

0.731.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.3%
1-214.3%
1-113.3%
0-212.4%
1-37.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.765.94
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=105.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.8%4.3%–24.7% CI
Draw FT27.0%15.4%–43.0% CI
Away FT62.2%46.1%–75.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.5%
2+ goals48.6%
3+ goals21.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.8%
Away78.4%