La Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-15 · 20:00
11.4864.8%
X4.0323.8%
28.4011.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
WWWLWDDDLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Cadiz
LLDDDLLDLD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.40
1.00
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
0%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.90
Against
6.40
9.10
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.20
Total goals
1.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
0%0/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.20goals per match
Cadiz conceded1.20
Matchup

Cadiz attack

0.40goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.40
9.10
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.20
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
28.10
Match total
30.40

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
5.50
On target
2.60
9%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.8%80.0%+15.2 pp
Draw23.8%20.0%-3.8 pp
Away11.4%0.0%-11.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.200.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-020.0%
1-020.0%
4-210.0%
2-110.0%
6-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.302.90
Average total8.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.540.0%
Over 9.530.0%
Over 10.530.0%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.6%33.7%–75.4% CI
Draw FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Away FT5.6%1.0%–25.8% CI

Remaining goals

0.89

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.1%
2+ goals22.2%
3+ goals5.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.6%
Away11.1%