La Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-10 · 20:00
12.0846.0%
X3.6226.5%
23.4827.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Betis
WWWDDWLDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Villarreal
DWLDLLLWDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.60
0.90
Conceded
2.10
30%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.30
Against
7.60
10.70
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded
2.10
2.30
Total goals
3.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Betis attack

1.40goals per match
Villarreal conceded2.10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.60goals per match
Betis conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.30
Corners against
7.60
10.70
Match total
10.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.70
Match total
5.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
24.40
Match total
24.20

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
4.20
On target
3.80
9%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches226
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.0%50.4%+4.4 pp
Draw26.5%28.3%+1.9 pp
Away27.5%21.2%-6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.531.9%
BTTS56.6%

Historical average

1.671.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
1-011.5%
2-110.2%
2-07.1%
0-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.474.42
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=226.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches64
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.2%30.9%–54.4% CI
Draw FT40.6%29.5%–52.9% CI
Away FT17.2%9.9%–28.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals45.3%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away42.2%