La Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-10 · 17:30
11.3073.9%
X5.9416.2%
29.6210.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WDWWWWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Celta
LLLDDLDWLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.40
0.50
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
2.80
Against
6.60
8.50
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.40
0.50
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.50goals per match
Celta conceded1.60
Matchup

Celta attack

1.40goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
2.80
Corners against
6.60
8.50
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.90
Match total
4.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
23.40
Match total
27.60

Shots

17.40N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
6.10
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches117
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.9%75.2%+1.4 pp
Draw16.2%16.2%+0.1 pp
Away10.0%8.5%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.535.9%
BTTS50.4%

Historical average

2.420.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.7%
2-012.0%
3-010.3%
1-19.4%
1-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.383.15
Average total10.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=117.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.5%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.547.0%
Over 11.535.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.0%44.5%–79.8% CI
Draw FT32.0%17.2%–51.6% CI
Away FT4.0%0.7%–19.5% CI

Remaining goals

2.04

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.0%
2+ goals64.0%
3+ goals32.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home88.0%
Away48.0%