La Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-10 · 15:15
13.9724.1%
X3.3728.4%
22.0147.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Las Palmas
WLWWDLWLWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Ath Bilbao
LLWDDWLDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.40
1H goals
0.90
2.00
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.30
Against
4.50
9.90
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Las Palmas attack

1.50goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.20
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

0.80goals per match
Las Palmas conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.30
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.50
9.90
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.70
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
22.60
Match total
26.90

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
3.60
On target
3.70
15%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches209
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.1%25.8%+1.8 pp
Draw28.4%25.4%-3.0 pp
Away47.6%48.8%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS45.0%

Historical average

0.951.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
1-012.0%
0-111.5%
1-29.6%
0-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.315.18
Average total9.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=209.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.4%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.534.9%
Over 11.525.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.8%14.9%–33.2% CI
Draw FT43.0%32.7%–54.0% CI
Away FT34.2%24.7%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals11.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.4%
Away53.2%