La Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-10 · 13:00
12.1744.2%
X3.1530.4%
23.7725.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
LDWWLLWLDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Vallecano
DWDLLWDLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.60
1.10
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.00
Against
6.50
11.30
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.90goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.40
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.70goals per match
Alaves conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.50
11.30
Match total
9.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.30
Match total
6.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
25.30
Match total
28.80

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
3.30
On target
2.90
6%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches324
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.2%45.7%+1.5 pp
Draw30.4%29.3%-1.1 pp
Away25.4%25.0%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.0%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

1.270.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.1%
1-114.8%
2-010.5%
0-110.5%
0-09.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.143.69
Average total8.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=324.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.549.4%
Over 9.539.2%
Over 10.526.9%
Over 11.519.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches133
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.3%30.5%–46.8% CI
Draw FT40.6%32.6%–49.1% CI
Away FT21.1%15.0%–28.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals34.6%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.4%
Away42.9%