La Liga · 2022/23
2023-06-04 · 20:00
12.7834.5%
X3.7425.6%
22.4039.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Espanol
WDLWLLDWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Almeria
DLLLDLWLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
1.70
Conceded
2.50
60%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.90
1.70
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.20
Against
5.40
9.10
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
1.70
Goals conceded
2.50
3.10
Total goals
3.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Espanol attack

1.40goals per match
Almeria conceded2.50
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.30goals per match
Espanol conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.40
9.10
Match total
8.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.90
Match total
4.20
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
26.70
Match total
21.20

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
5.30
On target
3.90
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.5%28.6%-5.9 pp
Draw25.6%28.6%+3.0 pp
Away39.9%42.9%+2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.539.3%
BTTS60.7%

Historical average

1.541.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.3%
1-114.3%
2-410.7%
0-37.1%
2-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.964.57
Average total9.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.6%
Over 9.546.4%
Over 10.532.1%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away90.0%