La Liga · 2022/23
2023-06-04 · 20:00
12.6336.4%
X3.6826.0%
22.5437.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
DWLWWDLWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Barcelona
WWWLWWDLWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.50
0.80
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.30
Against
4.10
10.90
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
2.10
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.30goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.90
Matchup

Barcelona attack

1.50goals per match
Celta conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.10
10.90
Match total
8.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.90
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
24.70
Match total
24.90

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.40
On target
3.80
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches185
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.4%35.7%-0.7 pp
Draw26.0%27.0%+1.0 pp
Away37.7%37.3%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.531.9%
BTTS61.6%

Historical average

1.451.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-28.6%
2-08.6%
0-18.1%
2-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.395.22
Average total10.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=185.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.1%
Over 9.558.9%
Over 10.547.6%
Over 11.537.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.6%27.0%–53.7% CI
Draw FT29.2%18.2%–43.2% CI
Away FT31.3%19.9%–45.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.81

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.4%
2+ goals52.1%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.4%
Away56.3%