La Liga · 2022/23
2023-06-04 · 20:00
12.7834.4%
X3.5926.7%
22.4638.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Betis
LLWDWLWDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Valencia
LLLLLLWLWL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.60
1.20
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.60
1.40
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.70
Against
5.30
9.50
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Betis attack
1.30goals per matchValencia conceded1.40Matchup
Valencia attack
0.60goals per matchBetis conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.30
9.50
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.20
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
26.30
Match total
23.70
Shots
11.00N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.60
On target
3.00
12%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches190
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.4%38.4%+4.0 pp
Draw26.7%29.5%+2.8 pp
Away38.9%32.1%-6.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS62.1%
Historical average
1.47–1.35
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.7%
0-08.9%
2-18.9%
1-28.4%
2-07.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.67–5.04
Average total10.71
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=190.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.8%
Over 9.563.2%
Over 10.550.5%
Over 11.537.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.3%26.1%–50.0% CI
Draw FT44.1%32.2%–56.7% CI
Away FT18.6%10.7%–30.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.63
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.2%
2+ goals49.2%
3+ goals23.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.3%
Away44.1%