La Liga · 2022/23
2023-06-04 · 17:30
12.6935.6%
X3.6526.2%
22.5138.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
LLWDWLWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Ath Madrid
DWWDWWLWLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.70
Against
6.20
10.50
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
3.00
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

2.00goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.00
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.50goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.20
10.50
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.50
Match total
4.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
26.10
Match total
20.70

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.90
On target
4.30
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches111
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.6%46.8%+11.2 pp
Draw26.2%19.8%-6.4 pp
Away38.2%33.3%-4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.537.8%
BTTS60.4%

Historical average

1.661.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.8%
2-09.0%
2-19.0%
0-18.1%
1-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.955.16
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=111.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.3%27.4%–60.8% CI
Draw FT26.7%14.2%–44.4% CI
Away FT30.0%16.7%–47.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away50.0%