La Liga · 2022/23
2023-06-04 · 17:30
11.7155.9%
X4.0323.7%
24.6820.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sociedad
WLDDWWWWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Sevilla
LLDLLWWWWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.20
0.60
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.10
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.30
Against
7.00
7.40
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
0.60
Goals conceded
1.50
2.10
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sociedad attack
1.50goals per matchSevilla conceded1.50Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.20goals per matchSociedad conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
3.30
Corners against
7.00
7.40
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.80
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.30N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
30.60
Match total
22.70
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
3.80
On target
2.70
12%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches315
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.9%57.1%+1.3 pp
Draw23.7%22.9%-0.9 pp
Away20.4%20.0%-0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.531.1%
BTTS53.7%
Historical average
1.86–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-111.4%
1-110.5%
1-010.2%
2-07.6%
3-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.11–3.90
Average total10.01
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=315.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.532.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches94
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.7%35.0%–54.7% CI
Draw FT34.0%25.3%–44.1% CI
Away FT21.3%14.2%–30.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.8%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals21.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.7%
Away44.7%