La Liga · 2022/23
2023-06-04 · 17:30
11.9349.6%
X3.8824.7%
23.7325.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WWDWWLWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Ath Bilbao
LWLDWWWDLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
5.80N=10
3.40
Against
5.00
9.60
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
3.50
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.70goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.40
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.10goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.00
9.60
Match total
10.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.90
Match total
5.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
25.00
Match total
27.30

Shots

19.30N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
7.80
On target
4.00
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches180
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.6%51.7%+2.0 pp
Draw24.7%28.3%+3.6 pp
Away25.7%20.0%-5.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.534.4%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

1.831.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.8%
1-010.0%
2-09.4%
3-05.6%
3-15.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.534.54
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=180.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%32.0%–57.6% CI
Draw FT37.0%25.4%–50.4% CI
Away FT18.5%10.4%–30.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.87

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.0%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals24.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.9%
Away48.1%