La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 18:00
13.0131.7%
X3.7025.8%
22.2542.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
LWDDDLWWWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Villarreal
WDLLWWWLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.70
1.20
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.00
Against
5.70
9.30
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.30goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.40
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.70goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.70
9.30
Match total
10.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.00
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
25.00
Match total
23.60

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.60
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches200
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.7%31.5%-0.2 pp
Draw25.8%28.5%+2.7 pp
Away42.5%40.0%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.531.5%
BTTS57.0%

Historical average

1.281.52

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.0%
2-19.5%
0-19.0%
1-27.5%
2-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.924.83
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=199.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.7%14.7%–36.0% CI
Draw FT35.6%24.6%–48.3% CI
Away FT40.7%29.1%–53.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals44.1%
3+ goals16.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.6%
Away59.3%