La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 18:00
12.0147.5%
X3.6226.3%
23.6426.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
LDLWWDLWDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Espanol
WLWLLLLLLW
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
2.20
30%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
90%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.80
Against
6.40
11.60
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
2.20
2.00
Total goals
3.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.00goals per match
Espanol conceded2.20
Matchup

Espanol attack

1.40goals per match
Valencia conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.40
11.60
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.00
Match total
4.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
26.60
Match total
24.10

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.20
On target
3.40
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches490
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.5%45.5%-1.9 pp
Draw26.3%28.4%+2.0 pp
Away26.2%26.1%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.528.2%
BTTS55.1%

Historical average

1.571.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
1-09.8%
2-19.4%
0-08.0%
1-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.664.40
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=490.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches148
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.5%27.3%–42.4% CI
Draw FT39.9%32.3%–47.9% CI
Away FT25.7%19.3%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.6%
2+ goals39.9%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.4%
Away45.9%