La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 18:00
12.6336.3%
X3.2229.7%
22.8134.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cadiz
DWWWDLLLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Celta
LWDDWDLLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.00
Against
5.10
10.00
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cadiz attack

1.20goals per match
Celta conceded1.60
Matchup

Celta attack

1.20goals per match
Cadiz conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.10
10.00
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.80
Match total
5.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
27.70
Match total
25.00

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.50
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches821
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.3%32.9%-3.4 pp
Draw29.7%33.3%+3.6 pp
Away34.0%33.9%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

1.191.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
0-111.2%
0-09.5%
2-18.6%
1-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.144.61
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=820.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches276
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT24.6%19.9%–30.0% CI
Draw FT44.2%38.5%–50.1% CI
Away FT31.2%26.0%–36.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.7%
2+ goals38.8%
3+ goals12.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.8%
Away51.4%