La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 18:00
12.6336.3%
X3.2229.7%
22.8134.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cadiz
DWWWDLLLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Celta
LWDDWDLLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.00
Against
5.10
10.00
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cadiz attack
1.20goals per matchCelta conceded1.60Matchup
Celta attack
1.20goals per matchCadiz conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.10
10.00
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.80
Match total
5.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.40N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
27.70
Match total
25.00
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.50
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches821
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.3%32.9%-3.4 pp
Draw29.7%33.3%+3.6 pp
Away34.0%33.9%-0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS52.7%
Historical average
1.19–1.22
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.6%
0-111.2%
0-09.5%
2-18.6%
1-08.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.14–4.61
Average total9.76
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=820.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.526.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches276
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT24.6%19.9%–30.0% CI
Draw FT44.2%38.5%–50.1% CI
Away FT31.2%26.0%–36.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.28
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.7%
2+ goals38.8%
3+ goals12.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.8%
Away51.4%