La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 18:00
12.0546.7%
X3.5027.3%
23.6826.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
WDWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Sociedad
WDWLDLLDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.80
Scored
1.00
0.50
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.40
Against
5.00
9.50
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.00
0.50
Goals conceded
0.90
3.30
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

2.80goals per match
Sociedad conceded0.90
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.00goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.00
9.50
Match total
8.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.80
Match total
5.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
16.60N=10
21.50
Match total
28.70

Shots

16.80N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
6.70
On target
4.40
17%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches395
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.7%42.5%-4.1 pp
Draw27.3%29.1%+1.8 pp
Away26.0%28.4%+2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.528.9%
BTTS53.9%

Historical average

1.531.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.7%
1-08.9%
0-08.1%
0-18.1%
2-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.624.46
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=395.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.555.4%
Over 10.545.1%
Over 11.531.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches124
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.3%24.7%–40.9% CI
Draw FT40.3%32.1%–49.1% CI
Away FT27.4%20.3%–35.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.2%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.2%
Away48.4%