La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 18:00
11.3272.2%
X5.3717.7%
29.4510.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Bilbao
DLWLLDWLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Elche
DLLWLLLLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.50
1.00
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.20
0.70
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
8.90N=10
For
5.30N=10
2.60
Against
5.90
11.50
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.00
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Bilbao attack
1.00goals per matchElche conceded1.80Matchup
Elche attack
0.50goals per matchAth Bilbao conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.90N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
2.60
Corners against
5.90
11.50
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.40
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.00N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
23.30
Match total
24.10
Shots
15.20N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.20
On target
2.70
7%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches153
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.2%73.2%+1.0 pp
Draw17.7%17.6%-0.1 pp
Away10.1%9.2%-0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.534.6%
BTTS44.4%
Historical average
2.23–0.70
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.0%
2-112.4%
2-09.2%
0-07.8%
1-16.5%
Comparable corner averages
7.59–3.14
Average total10.74
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=153.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.2%
Over 9.562.7%
Over 10.552.3%
Over 11.539.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.8%43.3%–71.0% CI
Draw FT37.8%25.1%–52.4% CI
Away FT4.4%1.2%–14.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.9%
Away24.4%