La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 18:00
12.2841.9%
X3.5626.8%
23.0631.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
DWLWLDWLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Valladolid
LWLLDLWLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.70
Against
5.30
9.80
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
2.20
2.80
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.60goals per match
Valladolid conceded2.20
Matchup

Valladolid attack

0.70goals per match
Almeria conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.30
9.80
Match total
8.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.40
Match total
5.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
23.20
Match total
28.10

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.30
On target
2.70
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches324
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.9%41.7%-0.3 pp
Draw26.8%27.8%+0.9 pp
Away31.2%30.6%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.533.6%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.481.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.4%
1-09.0%
2-18.3%
2-07.7%
0-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.274.70
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=323.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches92
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.1%29.8%–49.3% CI
Draw FT39.1%29.8%–49.3% CI
Away FT21.7%14.5%–31.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals22.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.7%
Away43.5%