La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 18:00
12.8733.3%
X3.4627.6%
22.4439.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
WWWLWDWLWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Real Madrid
LWLWDLWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
6.00N=10
2.10
Against
4.60
9.00
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.70goals per match
Real Madrid conceded1.20
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.00goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
2.10
Corners against
4.60
9.00
Match total
10.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.00
Match total
5.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
8.90N=10
22.90
Match total
23.80

Shots

17.80N=10
Shots
15.60N=10
5.70
On target
4.60
10%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches213
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.3%27.7%-5.6 pp
Draw27.6%32.4%+4.8 pp
Away39.1%39.9%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.537.6%
BTTS62.0%

Historical average

1.311.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
2-211.3%
1-08.0%
0-28.0%
1-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.765.23
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=213.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.545.1%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.6%15.2%–37.1% CI
Draw FT42.1%30.2%–55.0% CI
Away FT33.3%22.5%–46.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.2%
2+ goals45.6%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.6%
Away56.1%