La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 18:00
12.8733.3%
X3.4627.6%
22.4439.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sevilla
WWWLWDWLWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Real Madrid
LWLWDLWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.90N=10
For
6.00N=10
2.10
Against
4.60
9.00
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.70goals per matchReal Madrid conceded1.20Matchup
Real Madrid attack
1.00goals per matchSevilla conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
2.10
Corners against
4.60
9.00
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.00
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
8.90N=10
22.90
Match total
23.80
Shots
17.80N=10
Shots
15.60N=10
5.70
On target
4.60
10%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches213
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.3%27.7%-5.6 pp
Draw27.6%32.4%+4.8 pp
Away39.1%39.9%+0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.537.6%
BTTS62.0%
Historical average
1.31–1.64
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.1%
2-211.3%
1-08.0%
0-28.0%
1-27.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.76–5.23
Average total9.99
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=213.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.545.1%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.6%15.2%–37.1% CI
Draw FT42.1%30.2%–55.0% CI
Away FT33.3%22.5%–46.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.2%
2+ goals45.6%
3+ goals10.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.6%
Away56.1%