La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-24 · 18:30
11.4964.2%
X4.5021.3%
26.6014.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
WLLWDWLWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Cadiz
WLLLDDWDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.60
1.00
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.30
Against
5.40
9.70
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.90goals per match
Cadiz conceded1.40
Matchup

Cadiz attack

0.60goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.40
9.70
Match total
8.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.20
Match total
5.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
27.50
Match total
29.80

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
6.10
On target
2.70
12%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches108
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.2%58.3%-5.9 pp
Draw21.3%23.1%+1.9 pp
Away14.5%18.5%+4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS54.6%

Historical average

1.990.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
2-011.1%
2-110.2%
1-07.4%
3-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.663.84
Average total10.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=108.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.538.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.8%28.2%–60.7% CI
Draw FT37.5%22.9%–54.7% CI
Away FT18.8%8.9%–35.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.81

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals59.4%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.9%
Away50.0%