La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-24 · 18:30
11.4964.2%
X4.5021.3%
26.6014.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Villarreal
WLLWDWLWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Cadiz
WLLLDDWDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.60
1.00
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.30
Against
5.40
9.70
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Villarreal attack
1.90goals per matchCadiz conceded1.40Matchup
Cadiz attack
0.60goals per matchVillarreal conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.40
9.70
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.20
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.90N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
27.50
Match total
29.80
Shots
16.30N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
6.10
On target
2.70
12%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches108
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.2%58.3%-5.9 pp
Draw21.3%23.1%+1.9 pp
Away14.5%18.5%+4.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS54.6%
Historical average
1.99–0.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.9%
2-011.1%
2-110.2%
1-07.4%
3-16.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.66–3.84
Average total10.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=108.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.538.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.8%28.2%–60.7% CI
Draw FT37.5%22.9%–54.7% CI
Away FT18.8%8.9%–35.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.81
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals59.4%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home71.9%
Away50.0%