La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-24 · 18:30
11.6558.2%
X4.1922.9%
25.0718.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
DWWDWWLWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Vallecano
DWWDLLDLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
5.40N=10
3.50
Against
4.80
10.20
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.70
3.20
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.50goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.70
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.80goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.80
10.20
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.00
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
25.20
Match total
31.20

Shots

20.10N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
8.20
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches117
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.2%58.1%-0.0 pp
Draw22.9%18.8%-4.1 pp
Away18.9%23.1%+4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.535.0%
BTTS59.8%

Historical average

2.051.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.1%
2-19.4%
1-29.4%
3-07.7%
1-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.304.01
Average total10.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=117.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.8%27.9%–64.9% CI
Draw FT37.5%21.2%–57.3% CI
Away FT16.7%6.7%–35.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.2%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.8%
Away41.7%