La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-24 · 18:30
14.0423.7%
X3.7425.6%
21.8950.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
LDWLLDLLWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Sevilla
DLLDLLWWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.60
1.30
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.90
Against
6.60
12.10
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Elche attack

1.20goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.50
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.20goals per match
Elche conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.60
12.10
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.50
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
25.10
Match total
22.90

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.90
On target
2.90
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches197
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.7%21.8%-1.9 pp
Draw25.6%25.4%-0.2 pp
Away50.7%52.8%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.528.9%
BTTS57.4%

Historical average

1.051.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.7%
1-111.2%
0-19.1%
0-28.1%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.485.42
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=197.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.9%9.7%–27.8% CI
Draw FT43.1%31.8%–55.2% CI
Away FT40.0%29.0%–52.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.5%
2+ goals56.9%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.2%
Away63.1%