La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-23 · 18:30
11.3769.9%
X5.1318.7%
28.3911.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sociedad
WWLDDWWWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Almeria
DDLLLDLWLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.40
0.60
Conceded
2.50
30%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.90
1.20
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.30
Against
4.70
6.70
Total
7.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
0.60
Goals conceded
2.50
2.20
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sociedad attack
1.60goals per matchAlmeria conceded2.50Matchup
Almeria attack
1.40goals per matchSociedad conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.70
6.70
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.90
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.30N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
30.30
Match total
20.50
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
3.80
On target
4.60
13%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.9%60.0%-9.9 pp
Draw18.7%31.1%+12.4 pp
Away11.4%8.9%-2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS66.7%
Historical average
2.36–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.8%
2-18.9%
3-08.9%
4-16.7%
3-16.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.71–3.22
Average total8.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.6%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.528.9%
Over 11.520.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.60
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.0%
Away30.0%