La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-23 · 18:30
11.3769.9%
X5.1318.7%
28.3911.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
WWLDDWWWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Almeria
DDLLLDLWLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.40
0.60
Conceded
2.50
30%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.90
1.20
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.30
Against
4.70
6.70
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
0.60
Goals conceded
2.50
2.20
Total goals
3.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.60goals per match
Almeria conceded2.50
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.40goals per match
Sociedad conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.70
6.70
Match total
7.90
20%2/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.90
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.30N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
30.30
Match total
20.50

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
3.80
On target
4.60
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.9%60.0%-9.9 pp
Draw18.7%31.1%+12.4 pp
Away11.4%8.9%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

2.360.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.8%
2-18.9%
3-08.9%
4-16.7%
3-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.713.22
Average total8.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.6%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.528.9%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away30.0%