La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-23 · 18:30
12.0347.2%
X3.4927.5%
23.7925.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
DDWLWWDLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Girona
DLLWLDDLWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.90
1.10
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.60
Against
6.00
10.80
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.10
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.30goals per match
Girona conceded1.50
Matchup

Girona attack

1.30goals per match
Celta conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.00
10.80
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.50
Match total
6.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
24.50
Match total
29.50

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
5.20
On target
3.70
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches586
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.2%46.4%-0.8 pp
Draw27.5%28.2%+0.7 pp
Away25.3%25.4%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

1.521.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.1%
1-010.8%
2-19.9%
2-08.9%
0-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.484.58
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=586.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches197
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.6%31.1%–44.5% CI
Draw FT37.1%30.6%–44.0% CI
Away FT25.4%19.8%–31.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals40.1%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away45.2%