La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 17:30
13.1730.2%
X3.6226.5%
22.2143.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
WLDLWWDLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Real Madrid
WLWLWDLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.10N=10
For
6.00N=10
3.40
Against
4.90
11.50
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.20goals per match
Real Madrid conceded1.10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.20goals per match
Valencia conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.10N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.90
11.50
Match total
10.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.80
Match total
5.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
27.00
Match total
23.70

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
16.20N=10
4.30
On target
4.90
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches281
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.2%29.9%-0.3 pp
Draw26.5%27.4%+0.9 pp
Away43.3%42.7%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.534.5%
BTTS59.8%

Historical average

1.321.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
1-28.5%
0-18.5%
2-17.5%
0-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.595.26
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=280.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.0%7.2%–22.3% CI
Draw FT42.9%32.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT44.2%33.6%–55.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.6%
2+ goals51.9%
3+ goals20.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.0%
Away68.8%