La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 13:00
12.1744.2%
X3.4627.7%
23.4228.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
LLWDDDLWWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Espanol
DWLWLLLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.30
Against
7.00
9.70
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
2.20
2.50
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.30goals per match
Espanol conceded2.20
Matchup

Espanol attack

1.30goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.30
Corners against
7.00
9.70
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.10
Match total
5.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
25.70
Match total
24.80

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.40
On target
2.90
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches694
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.2%44.5%+0.3 pp
Draw27.7%28.2%+0.5 pp
Away28.1%27.2%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.527.2%
BTTS53.7%

Historical average

1.501.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
1-010.8%
2-18.8%
0-18.1%
2-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.454.33
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=694.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches220
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.7%26.9%–39.2% CI
Draw FT38.2%32.0%–44.8% CI
Away FT29.1%23.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals14.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.9%
Away50.5%