La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-20 · 17:30
12.2941.9%
X3.3228.9%
23.2929.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Almeria
LDWLWLDWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Mallorca
LLLLLLDWLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.30
Against
4.70
9.40
Total
8.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Almeria attack
1.30goals per matchMallorca conceded1.80Matchup
Mallorca attack
0.70goals per matchAlmeria conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.70
9.40
Match total
8.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.20
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
23.30
Match total
27.00
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
4.10
On target
2.10
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches905
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.9%41.9%-0.0 pp
Draw28.9%30.4%+1.5 pp
Away29.2%27.7%-1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS51.7%
Historical average
1.35–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.8%
1-011.6%
2-110.4%
0-18.3%
0-08.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.18–4.48
Average total9.66
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=904.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.527.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches282
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.4%29.1%–40.1% CI
Draw FT39.7%34.2%–45.5% CI
Away FT25.9%21.1%–31.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.28
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals35.8%
3+ goals12.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.1%
Away45.0%