La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-20 · 15:15
11.6757.5%
X3.8724.8%
25.4417.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Bilbao
WDLWLLDWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Celta
WLWDDWDLLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
0.70
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

9.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
2.30
Against
5.10
11.40
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.10goals per match
Celta conceded1.40
Matchup

Celta attack

1.20goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
2.30
Corners against
5.10
11.40
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.30
Match total
5.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
23.00
Match total
25.10

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.50
On target
3.70
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches323
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.5%58.2%+0.7 pp
Draw24.8%23.2%-1.6 pp
Away17.7%18.6%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

1.710.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.2%
1-112.7%
2-010.8%
2-110.5%
0-05.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.183.70
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=323.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.1%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches89
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.4%39.3%–59.6% CI
Draw FT32.6%23.7%–42.9% CI
Away FT18.0%11.4%–27.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.8%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals13.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.2%
Away38.2%