La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-20 · 15:15
11.6757.5%
X3.8724.8%
25.4417.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Bilbao
WDLWLLDWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Celta
WLWDDWDLLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.40
0.70
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
9.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
2.30
Against
5.10
11.40
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Bilbao attack
1.10goals per matchCelta conceded1.40Matchup
Celta attack
1.20goals per matchAth Bilbao conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
9.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
2.30
Corners against
5.10
11.40
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.30
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
23.00
Match total
25.10
Shots
16.10N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.50
On target
3.70
7%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches323
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.5%58.2%+0.7 pp
Draw24.8%23.2%-1.6 pp
Away17.7%18.6%+0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS51.4%
Historical average
1.71–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.2%
1-112.7%
2-010.8%
2-110.5%
0-05.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.18–3.70
Average total9.87
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=323.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.1%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.532.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches89
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.4%39.3%–59.6% CI
Draw FT32.6%23.7%–42.9% CI
Away FT18.0%11.4%–27.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.8%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals13.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.2%
Away38.2%