La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-20 · 13:00
12.8633.6%
X3.7325.7%
22.3640.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Girona
DWLWWLWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Villarreal
LWDLLWWWLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.10
Against
6.00
8.20
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.20
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Girona attack
2.10goals per matchVillarreal conceded1.40Matchup
Villarreal attack
1.50goals per matchGirona conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.00
8.20
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.50
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
21.40
Match total
23.10
Shots
14.10N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
5.60
On target
4.20
15%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.6%36.0%+2.4 pp
Draw25.7%32.6%+6.8 pp
Away40.7%31.5%-9.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.538.2%
BTTS69.7%
Historical average
1.53–1.42
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-212.4%
2-111.2%
1-211.2%
1-111.2%
0-17.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.70–4.34
Average total9.03
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.3%
Over 9.541.6%
Over 10.528.1%
Over 11.520.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Draw FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI
Away FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.7%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals29.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.1%
Away58.8%