La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-20 · 13:00
12.8633.6%
X3.7325.7%
22.3640.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Girona
DWLWWLWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Villarreal
LWDLLWWWLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.10
Against
6.00
8.20
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.20
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Girona attack

2.10goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.40
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.50goals per match
Girona conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.00
8.20
Match total
11.30
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.50
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
21.40
Match total
23.10

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
5.60
On target
4.20
15%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.6%36.0%+2.4 pp
Draw25.7%32.6%+6.8 pp
Away40.7%31.5%-9.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.538.2%
BTTS69.7%

Historical average

1.531.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-212.4%
2-111.2%
1-211.2%
1-111.2%
0-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.704.34
Average total9.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.3%
Over 9.541.6%
Over 10.528.1%
Over 11.520.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Draw FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI
Away FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.7%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals29.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.1%
Away58.8%