La Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-15 · 20:00
11.9249.8%
X3.5227.2%
24.1523.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Betis
DDLLWDWLWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Vallecano
WDWWDLLDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.50
1.20
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.70
Against
4.80
9.00
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.20
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Betis attack

1.10goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.40
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.80goals per match
Betis conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.80
9.00
Match total
10.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.40
Match total
5.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
17.10N=10
27.40
Match total
32.10

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.60
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches600
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.8%50.8%+1.0 pp
Draw27.2%27.2%+0.0 pp
Away23.0%22.0%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS50.3%

Historical average

1.540.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.7%
2-111.2%
1-110.7%
2-010.0%
0-09.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.753.96
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=600.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.547.0%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.527.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches203
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.5%30.1%–43.3% CI
Draw FT39.4%32.9%–46.3% CI
Away FT24.1%18.8%–30.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.9%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.7%
Away40.4%